The banking industry is set to undergo significant changes by 2025, driven by trends such as the increased demand for AI specialists focused on governance, a surge in private credit opportunities, and a shift back to office work. Additionally, the roles of Chief Security Officers are expected to gain prominence, while the concept of "productization" will refine internal processes, echoing historical production methods.
A potential clash between JD Vance and Elon Musk is anticipated, with significant implications for the stock market and the future of American technology. Vance opposes big tech and advocates for decentralization, while Musk supports a technopolitical merger with government, reflecting a broader ideological battle in the post-Trump era. The outcome could reshape the dominance of tech giants and influence equity markets, particularly the Nasdaq.
Swiss banks are gearing up for the implementation of "Basel III Final" by January 1, 2025, which will significantly alter credit pricing and capital requirements. The output floor will increase capital needs for top-rated residential mortgages, potentially raising costs by 20 basis points for prime loans. This regulatory shift necessitates strategic adjustments in pricing and risk management for banks to remain competitive in the evolving credit market.
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